Live grades

Company grades, verified first

Each card carries the company rollup letter and the word that travels with it, read live from the grading tab and shown exactly as published. A company appears here only after its grade is verified against filings.

Live grades publish per company, verified first.

Instrument detail

Inside each grade

Every graded instrument carries its own four dimension scores and the letter they sum to. The bar shows how each instrument's face weighs into the company rollup, with the line marking the point where a single Critical instrument caps the company grade at D. An instrument appears here only after its grade is verified against filings.

Instrument grades publish per instrument, verified first.

Where this sits

This is the valuation layer of the CEBE methodology. The measurement counts every claim at face and asks a single question, what do common shareholders own after senior claims. Claims Grade asks the next question, what are those claims made of, because two companies can carry an identical Claims percent and face entirely different structural risk.

Three things hold this layer in place, and they are stated before the rubric because they are the reasons it can be trusted. The CEBE measurement does not change. Claims Grade and Adjusted Claims percent are companion metrics that sit beside the number, never inside it. Converts stay at full face in the CEBE numerator, and the dual treatment principle is untouched. And every grade is computable from filing data, so two people running the rubric on the same instrument reach the same letter. The grade is an arithmetic of stated facts, not an opinion about a company.

Which seat the grade is graded from

Claims Grade measures a claim's impact on common equity. It is not a rating of the instrument as an investment, and it is not a credit rating of the issuer.

This is the coverage ratio read from the other chair. A credit investor wants high collateral coverage. An equity investor wants low Claims percent. Same arithmetic, opposite seats. The same inversion governs character. The features that make a preferred attractive to its buyer, senior, perpetual, cumulative, cash only, are exactly the features that score worst here. The same four facts read as highest quality digital credit from the preferred seat and as a permanent claim on common from the common seat. Both readings are correct at once. This site does not dispute the digital credit thesis. It measures who funds it.

A claim that grades well from the common seat would be a claim the credit buyer should not want. If a senior instrument graded clean from both seats, the seniority would be fake.
The rubric

How the grade is scored

The full rubric, its four scoring dimensions and the letter ladder they sum to, lives on the CEBE methodology page, alongside the worked archetypes. Data lives here, the rules live there.

From instrument to company

A company's grade is the face weighted average of its instrument scores, mapped through the same bands. The weighting basis is the accrued liquidation preference for preferreds and principal for debt, the same figures the CEBE measurement carries, converted to one currency at grading time. Cash netting stays where it lives, in Claims percent. The grade describes the character of the claims that exist. Claims percent describes how much of the reserve they net to.

The D flag

A weighted average can launder a single dangerous instrument into a comfortable company letter. So a company grade carries a flag whenever any D instrument exists on the stack, displayed as the weighted letter beside a trigger marker. Where a D instrument exceeds half of gross claims, the company grade is capped at D outright. A claim that can seize the collateral is not something an average is allowed to hide.

Companion schedule

Adjusted Claims percent

Claims percent counts every claim at full face, which is the honest measurement of what stands ahead of common today. Adjusted Claims percent answers a different and forward looking question, of the claims on the stack now, how much is likely to still be senior a cycle from now. It haircuts convertible claims by their likelihood of vanishing into equity, and it never feeds the CEBE measurement. It sits beside it.

MoneynessWeight on face
At or above 130 percent of conversion price25%
100 to 130 percent50%
70 to 100 percent80%
Below 70 percent100%
Non convertible, every preferred and straight debt and collateral loan100%
Adjusted Senior Claims = sum of (face x weight) minus cash
Adjusted Claims %      = Adjusted Senior Claims in BTC / Total BTC

The weights are stated priors, published so they can be calibrated against observed conversions as the record grows, not asserted as truth. A Bitcoin denominated convert runs the same schedule against its tranche conversion price, and because its steps are discrete its weights step cleanly as tranches convert.

The honesty requirement

A haircut claim is also an expected dilution event. A metric that shows claims shrinking without showing shares growing tells half the story and hands a critic a free shot. So Adjusted Claims percent is never shown alone. It is always paired with the conversion overhang, the shares that arrive as the haircut claims convert, expressed against basic shares. Claims fall, dilution arrives, and both appear in the same view. Nothing is hidden on either side.

As converted, and the line against double counting

A convertible deep in the money carries value to its holder above its face. That value reaches common equity through dilution, not through the claim line, and the rubric is strict about never counting the same transfer twice.

The claim is never marked above face in the measurement. A convert stays at full face in the CEBE numerator until it actually converts, because marking the claim up to conversion value while also counting the conversion shares would count one transfer in two places. The forward state is shown instead as a per instrument pro forma, the As Converted CEBE for that instrument, where the claim leaves the numerator and its shares enter the denominator together, and every claim that cannot convert stays exactly where it was.

Whether a conversion helps or hurts common falls out of the same test the site uses for any issuance. A conversion is accretive when the claim retired per new share, measured in sats at the current Bitcoin price, exceeds the current CEBE, and dilutive when it does not. One test, applied to a conversion instead of a sale.

For a Bitcoin denominated convert, the claim retired per new share is fixed in sats and does not depend on the Bitcoin price. Every tranche's step is therefore exact and can be published in advance as a schedule, not a scenario. No fiat denominated structure can be stated with that precision.

What a grade is, and what it is not

A Grade C claim is not a verdict on management. A permanent claim can be brilliantly accretive. If Bitcoin compounds faster than a preferred's cost, a permanent ten percent claim funding that compounding is a good trade for common equity, and the grade says nothing against it. The grade tells you what the company is carrying. The accretion test and the spread tell you whether carrying it is paying off. Conflating the character of a claim with a judgment on the company is the same error BPS makes in the other direction, treating all capital as free.

So the rubric grades instruments, never futures. It is stated in public, computed from filings, and built from priors that are open to challenge, so that being wrong about a weight or a band is cheap to discover and expensive to hide. That is the same standard the measurement holds itself to, applied one layer up.

CEBE Framework by @chcbearsfan. cebetracker.io.