Drawdown · scenario layer
What happens to Strategy (MSTR) if Bitcoin drops 50%?
Set a Bitcoin price below. Everything under it is computed at your price against Strategy's filed capital structure. This is a measurement of what the structure does at a price you choose, not a view on whether Bitcoin reaches it.
Your assumption
Bitcoin down 50% from the live price on this page.
Your price: --
Loading the filed records.
At 50% below the recorded price. At a Bitcoin price of $43,245, which is 50% below the $86,490 recorded on 2026-10-04, Strategy would carry Senior Claims of 40.9% of its Bitcoin reserve against 20.4% at the recorded price, and CEBE of 118,764 sats per share against 159,858 sats. Net senior claims of $15.00B do not move with the price; expressed in Bitcoin they expand to 346,821 BTC. Common equity's Bitcoin reaches zero at $17,687.
Computed from the 2026-10-04 snapshot at a shocked price, not from the live price. The figures above the slider are read live and will differ.
Computed from the 2026-10-04 snapshot at a shocked price, not from the live price. The figures above the slider are read live and will differ.