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The CEBE Methodology

A framework for measuring true shareholder exposure in Bitcoin Treasury Companies

B
Bobby
@chcbearsfan · January 2026

The Problem with BTC-Per-Share

Bitcoin Treasury Companies (BTCTCs) are often evaluated using BTC-per-share (BPS) — total Bitcoin holdings divided by shares outstanding. This metric is dangerously incomplete.

BPS ignores the capital structure. Before common shareholders see a single satoshi, the company must satisfy:

Convertible debt — bonds that can convert to shares or must be repaid
Preferred stock — senior equity with liquidation preferences
Other liabilities — claims that rank above common equity

These "senior claims" eat into the Bitcoin stack before common shareholders get anything. BPS pretends they don't exist.

What is CEBE?

Common Equity Bitcoin Exposure (CEBE) answers a simple question:

If this company liquidated all its Bitcoin today, how many satoshis would each common share actually receive?

CEBE subtracts senior claims from the Bitcoin holdings, then divides by shares outstanding. It shows what common shareholders actually own — not the gross number, the net number.

The 5-Step Calculation

  1. Calculate Net Senior Claims (USD)

    Add up all claims that rank senior to common equity, then subtract cash (which offsets liabilities).

    Net Claims = Debt + Preferred − Cash

  2. Convert Claims to BTC

    Express senior claims in Bitcoin terms using the current (or snapshot) BTC price.

    Claims (BTC) = Net Claims ÷ BTC Price

  3. Calculate Common Equity BTC

    Subtract the BTC-denominated claims from total holdings. This is what's left for common shareholders.

    Common Equity BTC = Total BTC − Claims BTC

  4. Divide by Shares Outstanding

    Distribute the remaining Bitcoin across all common shares and convert to satoshis.

    CEBE = (Common Equity BTC ÷ Shares) × 100,000,000

  5. Calculate Drag

    Measure what percentage of the Bitcoin stack is consumed by senior claims.

    Drag = Claims BTC ÷ Total BTC

CEBE vs BPS

Metric What It Measures Limitation
BPS Gross BTC per share Ignores capital structure entirely
CEBE Net BTC per share (after claims) Assumes instant liquidation
Drag % of BTC eaten by senior claims Point-in-time snapshot

Why Drag Compression Matters

Here's where it gets interesting. Senior claims are denominated in USD, but the Bitcoin stack is denominated in BTC.

As BTC price rises:

• The USD value of claims stays constant (or grows slowly)
• The BTC value of claims shrinks relative to holdings
• Drag compresses
• CEBE grows faster than BPS

Drag compression is the mechanism by which Bitcoin appreciation flows disproportionately to common shareholders. The more leverage, the more dramatic the effect.

This is why a company with 25% drag at $100K BTC might have only 10% drag at $250K BTC — the claims haven't changed, but their Bitcoin-denominated weight has collapsed.

Data Sources

CEBE Tracker pulls data from official company filings:

8-K filings — Material events, Bitcoin purchase announcements
10-Q filings — Quarterly financial statements
10-K filings — Annual reports
Earnings releases — Quarterly updates with current figures

We use the BTC price from the filing date (snapshot price) rather than live price to maintain consistency with reported figures.

Limitations

CEBE is a useful heuristic, not a precise valuation:

• Assumes hypothetical liquidation (companies don't actually liquidate)
• Doesn't account for ongoing operations, revenue, or expenses
• Convertible terms vary — some debt converts at different prices
• Preferred stock may have complex redemption features
• Doesn't capture operational value or strategic premium

Use CEBE alongside other analysis. It's one lens, not the only lens.